Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.351625 0.384081 0.418962 0.459363 0.505030 0.555236 0.614858
2025-04-27 0.304053 0.351065 0.405460 0.473651 0.557703 0.659045 0.792229
2025-05-04 0.270533 0.324403 0.390004 0.477029 0.591391 0.739405 0.950366
2025-05-11 0.238392 0.293647 0.363450 0.459982 0.593110 0.775143 1.052026
2025-05-18 0.214381 0.269850 0.342049 0.445387 0.593826 0.806649 1.149612
2025-05-25 0.197766 0.253753 0.328593 0.439099 0.603904 0.850963 1.271900
2025-06-01 0.184396 0.240631 0.317601 0.434483 0.614877 0.896773 1.403300
2025-06-08 0.172815 0.228911 0.307319 0.429428 0.623882 0.939695 1.536600
2025-06-15 0.167459 0.225435 0.308349 0.441119 0.660091 1.031710 1.776829
2025-06-22 0.156938 0.213700 0.296210 0.430997 0.659037 1.058834 1.897103
2025-06-29 0.149607 0.206127 0.289680 0.429046 0.671261 1.110956 2.079071
2025-07-06 0.139808 0.194258 0.275731 0.413700 0.658265 1.113860 2.154816
2025-07-13 0.135261 0.190292 0.274126 0.419338 0.684525 1.198502 2.442844
2025-07-20 0.131943 0.188043 0.275122 0.429604 0.720864 1.310291 2.832908
2025-07-27 0.127332 0.183461 0.271980 0.432257 0.742909 1.395975 3.185042
2025-08-03 0.119695 0.173645 0.259585 0.417226 0.728242 1.398482 3.307770
2025-08-10 0.113074 0.165126 0.248848 0.404370 0.716578 1.406073 3.448907
2025-08-17 0.108281 0.159326 0.242346 0.398829 0.719379 1.448026 3.711139
2025-08-24 0.104097 0.154309 0.236873 0.394758 0.724783 1.497198 4.016085
2025-08-31 0.100140 0.149475 0.231431 0.390300 0.728818 1.543684 4.331362
2025-09-07 0.098825 0.148973 0.233505 0.400608 0.766748 1.685399 5.064544
2025-09-14 0.094603 0.143360 0.226196 0.391684 0.759838 1.704922 5.326983
2025-09-21 0.091724 0.139912 0.222588 0.389962 0.769545 1.772935 5.830388